Qu??n ?????i VN l??m ???????c g?? n???u b??? t???n c??ng?

Thứ bảy - 22/06/2019 03:52

M???t nh?? nghi??n c???u, Ti???n s?? Ng?? Th????ng T?? (Shang-su Wu), m???i ????y vi???t b??i tr??n trang The Diplomat v??? "nh???ng ??i???m y???u c???a qu??n ?????i Vi???t Nam" (The Weak Points in Vietnam's Military).
??ng vi???t r???ng "b???t ch???p nh???ng ?????u t?? qu???c ph??ng l???n, m???t s??? ??i???m thi???u ?????u t?? c???a qu??n ?????i Vi???t Nam d??? b??? t???n th????ng n???u Trung Qu???c t???n c??ng".
??ng n??u ra ba ??i???m y???u k??m nh???t c???a Qu??n ??????i Vi????t Nam l?? thi???t gi??p, ph??o binh v?? d?? m??n.

Qu??n ?????i VN l??m ???????c g?? n???u b??? t???n c??ng?

Image captionT??u ng???m Kilo 636 hi???n ?????i ?????u ti??n c???a H???i qu??n Vi???t Nam mang t??n H?? N???i

M???t nh?? nghi??n c???u, Ti???n s?? Ng?? Th????ng T?? (Shang-su Wu), m???i ????y vi???t b??i tr??n trang The Diplomat v??? "nh???ng ??i???m y???u c???a qu??n ?????i Vi???t Nam" (The Weak Points in Vietnam's Military).

??ng vi???t r???ng "b???t ch???p nh???ng ?????u t?? qu???c ph??ng l???n, m???t s??? ??i???m thi???u ?????u t?? c???a qu??n ?????i Vi???t Nam d??? b??? t???n th????ng n???u Trung Qu???c t???n c??ng".

??ng n??u ra ba ??i???m y???u k??m nh???t c???a Qu??n ??????i Vi????t Nam l?? thi???t gi??p, ph??o binh v?? d?? m??n.

BBC ph???ng v???n Ti???n s?? Ng?? v??? ch??? ????? tranh c??i n??y.

BBC: V?? sao ??ng ngh?? c??c chi???n ?????u c??, t??u ng???m v?? t??u khu tr???c nh??? c???a Vi????t Nam kh??ng h??? k??m h??n so v???i c???a Trung Qu???c?

Chi???n ?????u c?? Su-30MK2 th??? h???? th??? t?? t????ng ??????ng v???i lo???i J-11, Su-30MKK v?? J-10 c???a Trung Qu???c, c??n c??? hai n?????c ?????u cho t??u ng???m Nga trong d??? ??n 636. M????t s??? t??u ng???m Trung Qu???c, nh?? type-039m ???????c cho l?? c?? c??ng ngh???? gi???ng nh?? lo???i thu????c d??? ??n 636. T??u khu tr???c nh??? c???a Vi????t Nam lo???i Gepard 3.9 kh??ng h??? k??m h??n type-54 c???a Trung Qu???c. C??n t???t nhi??n, v??? con s??? th?? l???i l?? chuy????n kh??c.

BBC: Nh??ng ??ng v???n cho r???ng kh??? n??ng ph??ng th??? c???a Vi????t Nam, nh?? trong c??ng t??c r?? m??n, l?? ??i???m y???u d??? b??? Trung Qu???c khai th??c?

T??u r?? m??n v?? ng?? l??i c???a Vi????t Nam ch??? y???u l?? t??u ven b??? ho????c cho c??c v??ng n?????c kh??c n??n ch??ng kh??ng lo???t ??????ng l??u v?? c??ng ngh???? ch???ng m??n l?? t??? th???i Chi???n tranh L???nh.

Image captionPhi c?? chi???n ?????u J-10B c???a Trung Qu???c chu???n b??? tham gia cu????c di???n t????p Aviandarts th??ng 6/2017

C??n v??? thi???t gi??p, n???u Trung Qu???c t??n tr???ng bi??n gi???i tr??n b???? th?? ????y kh??ng ph???i l?? v???n ????? nghi??m tr???ng. Nh??ng n???u c?? xung ??????t tr??n b???? th?? ??i???m y???u k??m c???a Vi????t Nam s??? l???? r??.

Image captionThi???t gi??p Trung Qu???c di???n t????p tr??n b???? c??ng Kirgyzstan ??? v??ng bi??n gi???i T??n C????ng

So v???i c??c n?????c kh??c trong khu v???c, ph??o binh c???a Vi????t Nam kh??ng k??m h??n nh??ng v???n y???u h??n so v???i Trung Qu???c v??? ?????? c?? ??????ng, v??? kh??? n??ng t??? ph??ng th??? v?? t???m t??c x???. C??c lo???i ph??o t??? h??nh 2S1, 2S3, M-107 c???a Vi????t Nam, h???? th???ng h???a ti???n b???n li??n ho??n BM-21, BM-24 th?? c?? t??nh c?? ??????ng cao nh??ng t???m b???n ch??? b???ng m????t n???a cho ?????n 2/3 c???a ph??o t??? h??nh c???a Trung Qu???c.

C??c lo???i ph??o l???n c?? xe k??o nh?? 105mm, 122mm, 152mm hay 155mm, th?? y???u c??? v??? t???m t??c x??? l???n t??nh c?? ??????ng.

Trong nh???ng n??m qua, qu??n ??????i Vi????t Nam ???? s??ng t???o b???ng c??ch ??em xe Ural 375D ch??? ph??o M-101 lo???i 105mm ????? t???o th??nh m????t h???? th???ng ph??o di ??????ng. Nh??? th???, t??nh c?? ??????ng t??ng l??n nh??ng t???m b???n v?? t??nh t??? b???o v???? v???n k??m.

BBC:Trong v??i n??m qua, Kh??ng qu??n Vi????t Nam ???? m???t m????t s??? chi???n ?????u c?? v?? tr???c th??ng, c?? v??? nh?? l?? v?? l?? do k??? thu????t ho????c th???i ti???t, ??i???u n??y c?? ph???i l?? ch??? ?????u r???ng kh??ng qu??n n?????c n??y g????p v???n ????? nghi??m tr???ng hay kh??ng?

Image captionQu??n ?????i Vi???t Nam ???? hi???n ?????i h??a nh???ng n??m g???n ????y

T??i kh??ng th??? n??i v??? l?? do c???a c??c v??? tai n???n, nh??ng m????t s??? m??y bay c???a Vi????t Nam, nh?? MiG-21, Su-22, m??y bay v????n t???i An-26, Mi-8, tr???c th??ng UH-1, ???? ???????c ??em v??o s??? d???ng h??n 30 hay 40 n??m. V?? th???, ch??ng ???? qu?? c?? v?? t???o ra th??ch th???c nghi??m tr???ng, ch???ng h???n nh?? c??c lo???i phi c?? c??nh c???ng ?????u kh??ng c??n d??y chuy???n s???n xu???t.

Image captionT??u tu???n tra Echigo c???a L???c l?????ng b???o v??? b??? bi???n Nh???t B???n c???p c???ng Ti??n Sa, ???? N???ng th??ng S??u

M????t kh??c, thay to??n b???? th?? l???i v?? c??ng t???n k??m, c??n c??ng t??c n??ng c???p ch??? gi??p cho t??nh h??nh c???i thi????n trong ng???n h???n m?? th??i.

BBC: Vi???t Nam ???? t??ng c?????ng giao l??u h???i qu??n v???i c??c ?????i t??c nh?? M???, Nh???t. N???u x???y ra xung ?????t, li???u c??c ?????i t??c s??? gi??p Vi???t Nam kh??ng?

Ngo???i giao h???i qu??n kh??ng th??? coi l?? chuy????n c?? ?????ng minh. V?? ch???ng c?? tr??ch nhi????m v??? ph??p l?? g?? ????? c??c ?????i t??c ???? ph???i gi??p Vi????t Nam m????t khi c?? chi???n tranh. Nh??ng h??n n???a th?? n???u ch??nh s??ch ch??? ?????o c???a Vi????t Nam v???n l?? kh??ng c?? ?????ng minh qu??n s??? th?? vi????c l????p li??n minh s??? kh??ng th??? x???y ra.

Tuy th???, c??c giao l??u n??y c?? th??? t???o ra m????t s??? b???t an n??o ???? cho B???c Kinh v?? t??nh b???t an ???? c?? th??? gi??p cho t??nh ph??ng ng???a.

????m ph??n bi??n gi???i Vi???t-Trung 1974-1978

VN: N??? l???c c??n b???ng v???i Trung Qu???c v?? M???

BBC: C??? Vi???t Nam v?? Trung Qu???c ?????u c?? nh???ng ho???t ?????ng ph??t huy vai tr?? c???a ng?? d??n trong ph??t tri???n kinh t??? g???n v???i b???o v??? ch??? quy???n bi???n, ?????o, theo kh???u hi???u "b??m bi???n, b???o v??? ch??? quy???n". ??ng ????nh gi?? th??? n??o?

D??ng t??u thuy???n m?? ch??nh th???c l?? 'd??n s???' g???i ?? r???ng c??? H?? N????i v?? B???c Kinh coi c??c v??ng bi???n tranh ch???p n??y l?? l??nh h???i c???a h???. V?? th???, t??u thuy???n ch??nh th???c l?? d??n s??? s??? ????ng vai tr?? th???c thi ph??p lu????t trong v??ng bi???n c???a h??? ch??? kh??ng ph???i l?? ??ang x??m l??ng v??ng c???a b??n kh??c.

Ngo??i ra, l??m th??? ng?????i ta c??ng tr??nh ???????c vi????c d??ng t??u h???i qu??n ????? kh??ng g??y ra r???i ro c?? tai n???n l?? n??? s??ng v??o nhau. Philippines c??ng th?????ng g???i t??u tu???n tra duy??n h???i thay cho t??u h???i qu??n ra bi???n, theo l?? l??? t????ng t???.

T???i ????ng B???c ??, Nh????t B???n, H??n Qu???c v?? ????i Loan c??ng l??m nh?? v????y, nh??ng t??u tu???n tra c???a h??? c?? n??ng l???c cao h??n. TS Ng?? Th????ng T??

T???i ????ng B???c ??, Nh????t B???n, H??n Qu???c v?? ????i Loan c??ng l??m nh?? v????y, nh??ng t??u tu???n tra c???a h??? c?? n??ng l???c cao h??n.

N???u c??c t??u d??n s??? c??c b???n n??i ?????n l?? t??u c??, th?? ch??? c?? Vi????t Nam v?? Trung Qu???c d??ng c??ch n??y v?? h??? c?? c??c ????n v??? d??n qu??n m???nh trong ng?? d??n.

D?? v????y, d??ng t??u thuy???n d??n s??? l???i kh??ng gi??p g?? cho c??c tuy??n b??? ch??? quy???n v?? ch??ng kh??ng c?? uy t??n g?? v??? ph??p l??. N?? c?? th??? c?? ?? ngh??a trong vi????c di???n t????p m????t d???ng nh?? t???ng ??????ng vi??n ho????c ????? c?? c??ch che ch???n t???t h??n th??i.

Image captionH???i 2014 ???? c?? cu????c gi???ng co ngo??i Bi???n ????ng gi???a c??c l???c l?????ng b??n qu??n s??? v?? d??n s??? c???a hai n?????c Vi????t - Trung

BBC:????? hi???n ?????i h??a qu???c ph??ng, ??ng c?? ngh?? Vi???t Nam s??? nh??? ?????n M??? nhi???u h??n l?? Nga?

V?? kh?? c???a c??? Nga v?? Hoa K??? ?????u c?? c??c ??u th??? ri??ng. M????t s??? h???? th???ng v?? kh?? c???a Hoa K??? c?? th??? l?? hi????n ?????i h??n c???a Nga ??t ra l?? ???? ???????c th??? trong chi???n tranh th???c. Nh??ng v???i qu??n ??????i Vi????t Nam, d??ng c??c h???? th???ng c???a M??? s??? t???o ra th??ch th???c l???n v??? hu???n luy????n v?? h????u c???n.

C??c lo???i v?? kh?? c???a M??? c??ng ?????t h??n so v???i Nga. M????t kh??c, nh???ng ??i???m y???u k??m h??n c???a v?? kh?? M??? l???i l?? ??u ??i???m c???a v?? kh?? Nga. C??n c??? v??o c??c d??? ??n mua s???m v?? kh?? nh???ng n??m qua th?? h??ng c???a Israel, ???n ??????, ch??u ??u, v?? c??? c???a Nh????t B???n ?????u c?? th??? l?? c??c ph????ng ??n cho Vi????t Nam.

Ti???n s?? Ng?? Th????ng T?? (Shang-su Wu) l???y b???ng ti???n s?? t???i ??H New South Wales, Australia, v?? hi????n ??ang l??m nghi??n c???u t???i Tr?????ng Nghi??n c???u Qu???c t??? S. Rajaratnam, ?????i h???c C??ng ngh??? Nanyang, Singapore.
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